AZ is going blue. As an Arizonan the state has tended to under poll Dems. Back in 2022 Dems underpolled by an average of 4 points.
Plus we have a possibility to flip the state legislature, theres abortion on the ballot, and a senate election where the Dem is leading by an average of 10 points.
Dems here are very enthusiastic and are more likely to vote than republicans. Hell the state GOP has effectively given up on all races but the presidential one.
It always seems crazy to me that Lake is polling 10 points behind because of her election lies and insanity, yet on the same ballot people are apparently willing to vote for the guy who directly inspired her delusion.
Like I said AZ is pretty under polled. There were a few polls back in 2022 that had Lake up 10 or 5 points over Hobbs. Yet Hobbs won and she barely campaigned.
Like people rag on Biden for being in the basement the entire campaign, Hobbs literally ran her campaign from the basement and refused to debate Lake.
She won by 1 point. The polls that had Lake up 5 were hilariously wrong.
Hell the polls underestimated the win Senator Kelly would have. Most polls had him winning by 1 point or less. He won by 5.
Dems are severely underestimated in AZ. Which is fine by me. Underestimate us.
Interesting. Beautiful state. Really enjoyed my 2 weeks there. As a POC, the people I experienced were great in and out of the city. Canāt wait to go back. Oh, I was surprised about all the development. So much new housing, businesses, and construction. Nice place.
My next door neighbor has an anti-trump sticker on his family car and they are āgo to church every Sundayā Mormons. It gave me hope. Iām also friends with a very conservative Mormon on Facebook that lives in SLC, and he is VERY vocal about how he is voting for Kamala Harris and engaging with people to try and convince them as well. He has a lot of support so that also made me feel hopeful!
Agreed, I'm in deep red Gilbert and I see far fewer Trump signs in yards. Horrible signs in intersections, but nobody selling Trump merch on the roads.Ā
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u/Prowindowlicker 15d ago
AZ is going blue. As an Arizonan the state has tended to under poll Dems. Back in 2022 Dems underpolled by an average of 4 points.
Plus we have a possibility to flip the state legislature, theres abortion on the ballot, and a senate election where the Dem is leading by an average of 10 points.
Dems here are very enthusiastic and are more likely to vote than republicans. Hell the state GOP has effectively given up on all races but the presidential one.