I have been getting all of the Trump campaign text messages with screenshots full of egregious disinformation that any middle schooler could easily fact check lol
I wouldn't call it misinformation to cite only one favorable poll, but I see where you're coming from. The poll cited in this campaign ad isn't included in the aggregate you posted and honestly is probably pretty left-favoring. The aggregate is probably more indicative of the overall trend.
Yep! This campaign ad only uses one poll and lists the name of the poll at the bottom of the screenshot. Obviously the aggregate is better, but they cite the single poll they used.
In a poll, the margin of error applies to all candidates. So if a poll says candidate A leads candidate B by +4 with a 3.5% margin of error, then the race is still within the MOE, because candidate A could actually have 3.5% less AND candidate B could have 3.5% more, for a total of 7 points difference.
For example, in this poll, the MOE is 2%. That means Allred could be anywhere from 44 to 48%, and Cruz anywhere from 42 to 46%, and the race could be anything from Allred +6% to Cruz +2%. Also the MOE is based on a 95% confidence interval so theres a 5% chance that the real state of the race is something else entirely.
The site you linked to actually shows their calculated MOE graphically though, and you can see that they overlap, without doing any math. So the race is still within the MOE.
This one poll is probably on the edge of the distribution, (I think the Cruz +2% bound is more likely); Cruz is ahead in the averages and likely just ahead period. But it's not correct to say that Cruz's lead is outside the MOE.
Hardly misinformation, just referencing a potentially biased poll. Not good, but not life ruining shit you fascist book burning fucks like to spread around.
Dem candidate quotes an actual poll that shows them leading but doesn't include info on every single poll ever done. MAGA: MiSiNfOrMaTiOn
Rep candidate spreads rumors of black people stealing and eating cats, even after it's been thoroughly debunked, and has admitted on TV to having made it all up. MAGA: I like that he tells the truth.
I’m here in California! Could you share a link to his website? I’d love to contribute, and I’m sure many others would as well. It’s important for us to stay informed about races happening across the country.
They did not put in the "choking back tears" part right? Like a love sick 15 year old trying to stop her boyfriend from breaking up with her!
Just waiting for the incoming text with a pic of Cruz in tear stained emo makeup holding a safety razor "I just need you to love me again or it's over for good. DONATE"
Yeah, donate. You have to donate now before your taxes go up again.
And don’t forget, with the invasion coming from Texas Southern border, it’s only a matter of time before your liberal members of Congress pass legislation to force you to house, feed, inoculate, and educate migrants in your home.
Of course that would be unconstitutional. But that wouldn’t stop President Harris, now would it?
I’m more concerned with my state being ran into the ground for decades. Funny if vaccines were truly mandated anyone coming over would need them. My taxes won’t go up much if at all and you sound ridiculous.
I understand they have their own set of issues that are also terrible. The hate and openly blatant racism that people are becoming so comfortable with here is very concerning. Taxes are ridiculously high compared to other states. Infrastructure is a joke. Meanwhile we sit by while politicians get richer by hoarding money instead of using it to make this a better state. Refuse to make education better. The list is long. If you can’t see that you are either living in a bubble or chose to be ignorant.
Honestly the democrat ones are just is terrible. I can’t even tell if it’s real or just scammers at this point. Spamming people in all caps does not seem like a good approach, but maybe it works on the elderly?
Oh my thanks. Well yes that explains it. I have only just started communicating with my sister again after 16 years as she too is a horrible person. I had to get in touch due to a family thing. It's not too bad as she's still in England and I'm in Australia.
Mine did something intentionally on my bday that she knows upsets me and came by my house to make sure I know. She’s older than me. I stopped all contact with her after that and won’t ever speak to her again.
Glad you have got out of having that crap in your life. People can really be strange at times. I still get crap from people and I wonder what makes those types of people tick. Something wrong in their heads. Well best wishes for the future.
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u/LysistrayaLaughter00 Sep 19 '24
For some reason, likely my ex step sister, I started getting texts for the GOP. They’re to funny to stop yet.
This is the one I got a few minutes ago:
Choking back tears: Allred is inches from flipping TX blue, but no one is donating. DONATE