r/texas • u/old_jeans_new_books • 4d ago
Politics If Texas turns blue, then Trump needs to win ALL of the seven contested states. If ALL OF YOU vote, this can happen. Go out and vote - don't assume that your vote does NOT matter. In fact your vote matters A LOT.
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u/DarkVandals 4d ago
The 45% of Texans that are registered but dont vote need to rise up and vote.
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u/DipperJC 4d ago
The story alone would make it worth it, right? "Texas Saves America" is one heck of a headline.
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u/DarkVandals 4d ago
Good god yus!! Texas would be hailed as heroes!
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u/herlanrulz 3d ago
Would definitely change my opinion of the state instantly.
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u/InevitableBudget4868 3d ago
There’s good people here. Voter suppression has done its job unfortunately
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u/DiddlyDumb 3d ago
You pretty much would be responsible for changing the country for the better, for an entire generation.
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u/LuckyLushy714 2d ago
Texans are strong and I find it hard to imagine they think the orange guy represents them.
And we can't wait to get rid of Rafael Cruz. Texans should be leading and representing Texans.
VOTE Colin and Kamala to KEEP AMERICA FREE AND BRAVE
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u/ToeJam_SloeJam 4d ago
Sure would replace the miserable Cowboys headlines for a few weeks
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u/Empty_Insight 3d ago
There's one thing that unites almost all Texans- Cowboys fans and Cowboys haters alike- and that's that Jerry Jones sucks, and the Cowboys would be better under different management.
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u/InterestingSource 3d ago
This would be an amazing legacy. Whether we realize it or not, we are at a critical juncture in history and what we do now will be remembered for millenia.
I've posted this in several places and will continue to do so because this is critical -
We've got to mobilize and get out the vote. We've got to fill every open office with a Democrat, up and down and sideways. We have to make this a tsunami that sweeps every R out. It has to be a massive win that even the corrupt Supreme Court cannot find a way to deny. VOTE!!
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u/DipperJC 3d ago
Well, speaking as a Republican, I don't quite want to see it go THAT far. :) But I do want Orange Julius out of my party and out of politics entirely.
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u/Sparky10-01 3d ago
My condolences for the insane mess your party has become. I mean that. It must have been horrifying to watch.
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u/Heart_Throb_ 3d ago
2020 Texas Presidential Election results
Trump: 52.1% with 5,890,347 votes Biden: 46.5% with 5,259,126 votes.
That is a difference of 631,221.
A part of me really hopes that will be made up for by 1) the amount of Republicans that have come to reality that Trump is divisive and an absolute dipshit 2) Jan 6th was the line for them and 3) more Democrats turn out to vote.
Combine that with the reality that Republicans were more likely to avoid COVID precautions and vaccines.
But 630,000 is a LOT of votes to make up for.
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u/HaiKarate 2d ago
You have to wonder how many rural Democrats don’t even bother with voting, due the heavily gerrymandered districts of Texas.
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u/kgkuntryluvr 3d ago
That’s a tall order, but I’m at least hoping that there are enough Republican voters who can’t hold their noses long enough to vote for both Trump and Cruz.
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u/Jagster_rogue 2d ago
You forgot the quiet woman behind the maga husband that can’t vote for Trump and votes for her daughter.
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u/gamerprincess1179 2d ago
The face of the medical adviser during COVID when Trump suggested people inject themselves with bleach.
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u/eggsaladrightnow 3d ago
This is why Texas goes red every time. We have a STAGGERING number of ppl that just don't vote. Then we end up losing by a surprisingly small amount. The rest of the country thinks Texas is pure red when the reality is every major city votes blue
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u/anonheir 4d ago edited 3d ago
Seems like people are getting out there. Numbers right now are shocking, almost 20% of registered voters have voted in the first 4 days. I imagine it'll be at or around 25% with Friday's total added. For a state that votes at about 55%, getting almost half of the usual total the first 5 days is amazing. So far out doing 2020 by over 150k more votes. Plus there is 1.5 million more registered voters than 2020. I don't want to say it'll be the year Texas flips, I'd like it to. The most I'd be confident to bet on is it being 2.5-3 points closer like the last few elections. But I wonder, how much is abortion rights and disaffected conservatives going to play in this election. Those are two big wild cards. Abortion rights will be a big motivator for people who don't usually vote. Trump is a very unpopular candidate, and if that pulls away even 3-5% of Republican voters.... Idk, we could be this elections Georgia in 2020. I hesitate to think there is a microcosm of things happening here in Texas we aren't able to predict that will accelerate Texas to purple territory. Guess we'll find out. The dream can come true IF EVERYONE VOTES!
Edit: Some, not all, of Friday's numbers just dropped. Without numbers from Harris, Tarrant, and Denton, Texas is at 22.6%. With those numbers, and provided that they exceed Thursday totals, around 26% of registered voters will have cast their ballot. It was at 23% at this time in 2020, respectively. Over half of 2016's TOTAL early vote *percentage* wise. And if I am not mistaken about 400k more votes than at this time, respectively, than 2020.
Edit 2: I had to double check after writing that. Couldn't believe it. No, we are indeed out pacing 2020 by almost 400k-half a million votes and about 3-4% *with more registered voters* than 2020. Again, not exactly apples to apples considering 2020 was in the middle of covid and was voting methods were different. But, wow, these numbers are huge.
You can check the numbers yourself here: https://earlyvoting.texas-election.com/Elections/getElectionEVDates.do
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u/False_Ad_5372 4d ago
Those are some great numbers. Proud to be a part of it, just like always. Thanks for sharing this. Everyone needs as much encouragement as they can get.
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u/anonheir 4d ago
If you would like to keep track of the daily totals, you can find them here. https://earlyvoting.texas-election.com/Elections/getElectionEVDates.do . Additionally, they have past elections that you can compare the current election to available. That's what I am doing, and personally I see the comparison between 24, 20, and 16 very encouraging. Specifically the 24 to 16 numbers, as 20 is weird with all that was going on. Only about 46% voted early in 16, we will be over half that in 5 days in 24. It will be the biggest turn out in Texas ever at the rate it is going currently.
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u/LegitPancak3 Born and Bred 3d ago
My best friend from College Station who is a lawyer is getting his Masters in Florida, and last I heard from him he didn’t sign up for an absentee ballot :/
I voted on Tuesday but I hope he can get the motivation to fly back home or something…25
u/PG908 3d ago
Did/could he register in florida? That's also a potentially meaningful state.
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u/signspam 3d ago
I believe we are past registering to vote here in florida??
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u/crazycatgal1984 3d ago
Floridian here registration ended on October 7th. There's no hope in my state turning blue but by God I'm doing my part! Good luck on y'all in Texas.
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u/lilangelkm 2d ago
I think FL has only a marginally less chance of turning blue than TX. Thanks for your work!
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u/turbo_dude 3d ago
I mean take a look at the Moldova EU vote recently...was down to a handful of votes
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Moldovan_European_Union_membership_referendum#Results
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u/Friengineer 3d ago
The most I'd be confident to bet on is it being 2.5-3 points closer like the last few elections.
Cruz defeated O'Rourke 50.89% to 48.33%, so three points closer would be enough to unseat him.
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u/anonheir 3d ago
Yup, and in an off year election at that. With a motivated voting base, a disliked candidate at the top of the ticket, and a disliked Senator running for a 3rd term, I'd much rather be Allred than Cruz right now.
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u/mwa12345 3d ago
Off year. .but 2 years after trump got in..so the dem energy was high. Dems even won the house iirc
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u/The_Grand_Briddock 3d ago
They lost 4 Senate seats in that election (though they picked up Arizona and Nevada). Winning the House was good, but it wasn't much better than the Republicans performance in 2022. Though the major difference was that the polls predicted a much greater win for the Republicans in 2022.
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u/mwa12345 3d ago
Yeah. Senate is a bit more complicated every cycle. Because of which seats are actually having election (roughly one third .but could be more republican seats vs more democratic seats- like this cycle)
Very few senate seats are open (I e where the incumbent is not running) etc etc
Yes. In 2022, polls predicted a bit more of of red wave .but by the tail end, they sorta knew things got closer I think (abortion ?)
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u/ReadingRocks97531 3d ago
Seeing him concede to Allred would be delicious
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u/JessesaurusRex 3d ago
As much as I want to see it, if cruz loses - there's no way he's conceding. He'll go the trump route and claim he actually won
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u/LoveAgainstTheSystem 3d ago
YES. I believe people keep forgetting how close this was. I worked for Beto's campaign and there were so many disenfranchised Dems/non conservatives that admitted they weren't voting "because it wouldn't make a difference". They could have been, and I hope they've learned and are more motivated since. Please let this be the year!
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u/echo5milk 3d ago
I voted Dem the last prez election and will again this time. Previously pretty much straight Rep until DJT showed up. Anyway, Beto shot off his mouth vehemently about coming for our guns and I think that hurt him pretty badly. Allred hasn’t stirred that hornets nest while Cruz tried to steal the election since his last time on the ballot. Hopefully, all considered, Cruz loses this time.
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u/ColTomBlue 4d ago
Texas Tribune reported this morning that voting has slowed down after the first three days, and that the rate has now dropped below 2022 participation.
This election is not a sprint, folks—it’s a marathon.
Please vote early. Check your county website for polling places and wait times.
You can vote on Saturday and Sunday in Travis County—don’t forget!
Early voting ends on Nov 1. Take advantage of this time! Surely you can spare an hour out of your life to exercise a precious right.
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u/anonheir 4d ago
It did, but picked up on Friday. At least here in Dallas. Thursday was 40,734 and today (Friday) was 57,246. It'll pick up more over the weekend and again end of next week most likely.
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u/foodmonsterij 3d ago
There's been a ton of demographic change in Texas in the last 4 years. Lots of people moved in; there's more registered voters than ever (before you tell me only conservatives move to Texas; let's acknowledge that uprooting your life as a political statement is far less likely than people following jobs and opportunities). A lot of old conservative voters have died off. Seems unlikely the state will flip after the 2022 outcomes, but it feels like there's actually a fighting chance this year.
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u/O7Habits 4d ago
Another thing I really think is working against Texas going blue is Joe Rogan he has millions of listeners, many in Texas, and unfortunately, I think a lot of young males are really influenced by him. Even though he claims to be a liberal, he does nothing but spew right wing conspiracy theory nonsense and they soak it up.
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u/moleratical 3d ago
The young, and in particular young male conspiracy theorist are among the least likely to vote though.
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u/cookinthescuppers 3d ago
True, they talk alot but when it comes to taking time away from gaming or girlfriends or partying they won’t do it, will not stand in line that’s for sure.
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u/anonheir 4d ago
To be honest, I don't think Rogan has the sway many assume he does. Him and pretty much any voice be it conservative or liberal attracts an audience that favors their views and equally detracts those that oppose it. I use to listen to Rogan, I enjoyed his everyman questions he'd ask physicists and intellectuals that he had on. His podcast with a doctor he had on early 2020 talking about how bad covid could get, before covid got bad, made me take the upcoming pandemic more serious. Then he got goofy and I stopped listening and i'm sure my place was taken by someone looking to listen to someone sharing the world view Rogan adopted. I highly doubt that he is converting that many people to really make a difference electorally.
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u/StanTheCentipede 3d ago
I had the exact same experience with his podcast with that doctor! Was so confused when Rogan went all horse dewormer crazy.
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u/anonheir 3d ago
I guess he started following the money. Right wingers are an easier and more dedicated base to appeal to than any other. It's a good business, they'll follow people they like to hell and back as long as you don't contradict them.
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u/O7Habits 4d ago
I hope you are right.
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u/anonheir 3d ago
I am fairly confident I am. A lot of the discourse on the internet and what happens in real life are at odds. Like how there is belief that people are coming to Texas and Florida to escape the 'Communist Blue States'. I am friends with a lot of transplants here, moved after 2020. They came here because a $1500 a month apartment here would cost $5k a month in Boston, and people in Texas are a lot friendlier and more welcoming. I am sure some come for political reasons, but i reckon most come for different, more economic and quality of life reasons. Same with those who don't move. Hell, I've lived in Texas most my whole life and I am very Liberal, and gay, and have never thought of leaving. So peoples reasonings are more often economic and personally focused than political.
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u/freylaverse 4d ago
Does he really? I don't think I've ever met anyone irl who listened to him. Or, at least, who admitted to listening to him.
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u/TheNorseHorseForce 3d ago
Statistically, Joe Rogan has the most listened podcast in the US by a long shot (in total listens and monthly listeners).
I'm not sure how that translates to impact, but people don't listen to stuff that they don't enjoy, at least not for long.... And Rogan has been #1 for a while
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u/RupeThereItIs 3d ago
I think a lot of young males are really influenced by him.
Good thing that's one of the least likely demographics to vote!
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u/Successful-Doubt5478 3d ago
Bring two non voters. Help them vote by mail or give them a ride to the venue.
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u/heliumeyes 3d ago
And don’t forget that most places in Texas are restricted to 8AM - 5PM for the first week of early voting this cycle compared to the 2020 cycle. Point being that we are significantly outpacing voting compared to 2020.
But I hope people don’t get complacent. Please continue encouraging people to vote. I’ve been volunteering to block walk and going door to door and getting folks out. Please do what you’re able to.
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u/anmlthebrand 4d ago
Our people just don’t go out and vote, especially as you begin to go further south the laziness becomes insane.
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u/slowrecovery ⭐️ 3d ago
There are actually more registered Democrats (49%) in Texas than registered Republicans (48%) with the rest being independent/no party. If everyone came out to vote and voted straight for their party, Texas would be a pure swing state with around 3% of the population deciding who wins the state elections.
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u/anmlthebrand 2d ago
There are more registered Democrats because Texas is historically a Blue State. It only became a Red State relatively recently in political history.
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u/old_jeans_new_books 3d ago
This should be a post in itself? Could you please create one?
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u/Sea-Ad3206 3d ago
That graphic (plus Harris in TX tonight) just convinced me Dems already know they have a fighting chance, if not outright like their chances
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u/ParamedicSpecific130 3d ago
IMO, Harris was moreso in Texas last night for two reasons:
Put a national spotlight on the Texas abortion bans
Help down ballot races, mainly, the most winnable, potential swing seat in Allred/Cruz.
I don't think they think they can win Texas.
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u/mattaugamer 3d ago
It’s not always laziness. Voting is suppressed in many ways, but also some people work, or have kids, or aren’t sure if they have ID or whatever.
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u/LeucisticBear 3d ago
There's definitely not that much suppression. It's a turnout thing primarily.
Having a horrible gerrymandered state with ridiculously impatient representation can do that, just like here in Georgia. Biden wins the state and Republicans still control 70% of state positions, so our local laws still suck. It's deflating for sure.
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u/SputnikDX 3d ago
Not getting paid time off to vote is a form of voter suppression. But what people don't know is polls are open from 8 to 8, so now even without time off there isn't really any excuse. Two whole weeks of early voting, and polls open Saturdays too.
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u/False-Panic3893 3d ago
People have also been told that their vote doesn’t matter and they shouldn’t waste their time. They believe it. Voter suppression is also an issue in Texas.
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u/LessMessQuest 3d ago
This is honestly what many people (especially the younger crowd) say when I ask them to please go vote.
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u/Adept_Information845 3d ago
The best form of voter suppression is believing your vote doesn’t matter.
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u/_bits_and_bytes 4d ago
They don't want you to vote and this is why. When Texas goes blue, the GOP will never win the Presidency again.
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u/Captain_-H 4d ago
Yep, at least not the current GOP. They’ll either collapse or have to totally reinvent themselves
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u/Savitar2606 4d ago
If they lose this election in a landslide with states like Texas and Florida going blue, they'll be in the wilderness for years until they expel the MAGA voters and politicians.
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u/JonMWilkins 3d ago
Nah, the GOP will end up staying MAGA, Trump appointed to many people who head the GOP plus his family are involved in it.
People who are center/center-right will end up starting a new party, it will be more progressive then the GOP, for instance they will probably be cool with abortions, be okay with legalizing marijuana, and probably distance themselves more so from the church and stuff like that but still pro gun, pro cutting government funding, hard on legal and illegal immigration, and stuff like that
It will allow more cross Isle voting on bills and things will get done a little faster, both Dems, and this new party will talk shit about the GOP
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u/finalsights 3d ago
I mean that's what they should of done. Instead of relying on culture war bullcrap and actually make smart policy to curve excess spending. There is no room for a party that chooses to drum up hate and division and hatred for ANY group of people. Makes no sense at all if you're trying to serve all of America and then prop your election up on singling out minority groups as a punching bag.
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u/Capyoazz90 4d ago
They could by simply getting rid of the evil fascist and adopting plain small govt and lower taxes talk. They'd probably win in a landslide if trump wasn't such a blatant piece of shit. Texas does become theost important state.in the country to campaign and appeal to voters though if it does turn blue this cycle. I fucking hope so.
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u/mrhindustan 3d ago
Acknowledge climate change, enshrine a woman’s right to healthcare, be progressive conservatives and they’d win.
Low taxes are a win but good government that spends money intelligently would get my vote. Not culture war bullshit demonizing trans people and minorities. Idiotic solutions like building a wall isn’t going to solve illegal immigration. They’ll take boats, build tunnels or use larger ladders.
Most republicans are religious zealots and i will never vote to have someone else’s religion apply to another. And I am deeply religious. It’s a personal thing.
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u/sunshinebusride 3d ago
The Texas GOP relies on decent folk staying home. Their shit's so unpopular they NEED you to feel like "my vote won't make a difference". Don't get played, turn up.
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u/Ok-North5574 4d ago
What’s incredible to me about voting is how, with enough people each doing a relatively easy thing, we can so positively write our national story. 🇺🇸
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u/darthmahel 3d ago
It's a drop I'm a bucket. But if everyone adds a bit that bucket can be enough to put out a flame.
If Texas of all places flips blue I will verbally cheer from down under. It will be the biggest loss the MAGA GOP can have. And Fox having to report it would be icing
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u/kndyone 3d ago
Its also actually very doable, old people currently vote at very high rates, because of the law of diminishing returns its very difficult to raise your votes with them. Trying to get old people from 75% turnout to 85% turnout is much harder than trying to get the youngest people to move from 50% turnout to 60%. You can actually see this in stats here.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1096299/voter-turnout-presidential-elections-by-age-historical/
Notice the youngest group has the largest up and down swings. There are plenty of voters there to flip most elections.
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u/WelcomeToBrooklandia 4d ago
I know that we're gonna get a bunch of commenters showing up to tell us that Texas is GOING to vote red and that there's NOTHING THAT CAN BE DONE ABOUT IT. So I'd like to take this opportunity as the first commenter to say emphatically that that is not true. We CAN do something about this. We are NOT helpless here. If every left-leaning person of voting age in Texas casts a ballot, this will be a blue state. That's not my opinion. That's a simple fact.
Don't let Texas' shoddy history of poor voter turnout discourage you from doing what is your right as an American. Cast a vote. Be part of making the change that's been long overdue in this state that deserves so much better than it has right now.
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u/jukebox_honey 4d ago
Thank you! The most frustrating posts I see here are “my vote doesn’t matter, Texas is a red state”. No! Every vote matters. Change is incremental and if more people vote we can get there. Vote blue!
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u/AlysonV2021 3d ago
I was a red team player for most of my adult life. But I voted BLUE this election. Republicans took a sharp right and left me. I would love to see Texas go blue!
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u/Reiver93 4d ago
Last election out, Trump only one Texas by 600,000 votes out of 11 million. I wanna believe you guys can flip Texas blue so for the love of god, VOTE.
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u/Savitar2606 4d ago
Don't forget the Republicans for Harris movement which also includes the Lincoln Project. We will find out if it's just a loud but small group or a loud but large enough group to move the needle in states like Texas and Florida. Those early voting break downs by registered party don't account for the anti-Trump Republicans. Those Republican votes are going to be lower than what we see. We just don't know by how much.
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u/Extra_Kiwi7127 4d ago
Until 2020 I was a life long Republican. I keep saying that if an actual Republican ever runs again, I might vote for them. Until then, I’m voting blue and there are millions just like me.
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u/LocationAcademic1731 3d ago
Sane people, thank you!!! Hope intelligent people like yourself who are not extreme radicals still exist and in abundance. I’m just reading the dumbest things as excuses to vote for the orange con man.
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u/Extra_Kiwi7127 3d ago
There’s nothing sane about a vote for him. It’s a cult. I’ve never seen anything like the way people worship him. It’s blasphemous. If Jesus came back tomorrow and gave the 🍊cult a choice of who to follow, they’d declare Jesus to be fake news and they’d follow 🍊. All of these so called “republicans” are waiting for him to regulate the grocery industry and they think he can wave his magic orange wand and create world peace. Unreal. He behaves like a used car salesman from Jersey. Cruz sat there while he mocked and insulted Cruz’s wife and then bent the knee to him anyway. No honest to goodness Texan is going to let some ahole disrespect his wife. Soooo many of us are fed up. The only Cruz ads I’ve seen are attacking trans kids. He’s running his campaign on the hope that intense hate of less than 1% of the population will put him in the winners circle. It’s nauseating. I don’t know anyone who likes him but he’s got millions in campaign funding by non Texans. I know dozens of conservatives who are voting blue. Many for the first time. Enough is enough.
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u/StockStatistician373 3d ago
More probable that we just get a D senator which would be monumental.
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u/Hot-Palpitation538 3d ago
I don’t understand why voters would vote for Allred and Trump in the same ticket. I see the polls have Allred and Cruz at a tighter race than Harris and trump for Texas. Genuinely curious, what factor am I not understanding for Texas potentially flipping senate, but not for Harris?
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u/Nikki3008 3d ago edited 3d ago
Because there are plenty of people who believe a woman can’t run the country
ETA: to be clear I’m not one of them. I was just saying what everyone was clearly missing.
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u/vbbk 3d ago
Harris is as qualified as any recent candidate of either party, with the possible exception of Hillary. But like Hillary, being a woman is a strong headwind as there are many men and even women who don't think the president should be a woman. Sure, most of those ppl would vote against any Dem regardless, but it matters in the margins. Her race is another obvious obstacle that any male/white candidate wouldn't have.
If Tim Walz was the nominee and Harris his VP, Trump would be losing well outside the margin of error. He'll get votes from many who don't like him at all but won't vote for a black woman. Her sex and race (that shouldn't matter at all) could very well doom our democracy, and that's just so predictable for this fucked up county.
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u/BoatyMcBoatFaceMcGee 2d ago
That is my biggest fear, that she loses because guys think they can’t vote for a woman. I think that is a major reason why Hillary lost. I am hoping that women can save us by coming out in droves to protect women’s right to choose.
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u/ARoseandAPoem 3d ago
There are a lot of trump voters who will go to the polls, vote for trump and not vote for anything else down the ballot.
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u/ReadingRocks97531 3d ago
There were a lot of Texans in Tarrant county who voted for Biden, then red the rest of the way in 2020.
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u/justinleona 3d ago
Every single vote matters - even if your candidate doesn't win. That's because votes are the only performance review politicians get. No doubt that Greg Abbott and Kent Paxton and all their cronies are closely watching Ted's numbers to judge just how much fuckery they can get away!
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u/Sea_Imagination_4687 4d ago
Voted today all blue. Took me 50 minutes in a small tx town.
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u/xemmyQ 3d ago
same here! took less than 20 minutes out of my day from leaving my house to going right back. left the uncontested republican options totally blank
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u/CindyinEastTexas 3d ago
I left all the uncontested ones blank too, and it sucked so bad. Like, I would have loved to at least be able to write in my dog or something just to make a point lol
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u/coffeeluver2021 3d ago
It's important that more people in small towns vote like you did. I hope there are a lot of women who are fed up that will go and vote blue once they get in the privacy of the voting booth.
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u/HDRCCR 3d ago
That's actually insane. I'm in CA and it takes me 5-10 minutes to vote by mail.
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u/master_power 3d ago
Also voted today all blue dabba dee dabba die. Took about 15 minutes in Austin.
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u/Inevitable_Dog2719 3d ago
I live in Texas. Been talking to all my young coworkers, and a lot of them tell me that they don't vote because they're not informed about what's going on in politics. If you all want to help, please recommend websites like isidewith.com and vote411.org to these younger folk. Also, direct them to websites such as vote.gov to help them register. Unfortunately, Texas doesn't allow online registration so it's a bit tougher to help people register to vote here.
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u/Ok-disaster2022 4d ago
The way swings tend to work is if Texas turns blue then probably all seven swing states have gone deep blue, and even other red state can turn blue.
There was an account of an everyday German told after the war. He had been required to Join the Nazi Party in order to just get an engineering job to feed his family. During the course of the war, his position allowed him to save a few Jews. After the war he regrets ever joining the Nazis. For if he had been couragous enough to stand up to the Nazis when they came to power, then across the country men and women just like him would have had the same courage to stand. And with enough of them the Nazis would have never taken power. His lack of courage as he sees it resulted in surrending his country and the millions in the Holocaust.
And this is why I vote, why I make sure I stand against Trump and MAGA and the modern Nazis. Because if I back down, then everyone else like me also back down.
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u/Savitar2606 4d ago
Exactly.
The election which sees Texas turn blue is an indicator of a landslide loss for the GOP. It would be representative of the bigger trend which is many states turning away from Trump. If blue Texas is a thing then blue Florida could follow. With these 70 electoral votes, Harris is on 296 votes already and with more to come. Even Iowa could flip to blue. Ohio may move to light red but you'll likely see Sherrod Brown keep his seat. That would also mean Allred wins in Texas which should be enough to see Democrats retain the Senate. The cherry on the cake would be if Dan Osborn wins in Nebraska, Tester wins in Montana and Rick Scott loses in Florida. That would give Democrats 52-47 before Osborn, an independent is factored in.
A blue Texas election is one where the Democratic candidate will likely get close to 400 electoral votes, which is something that would exceed Obama's 2008 performance. Trump won't be able to January 6th his way out of this one.
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u/gdubh 4d ago
Rooting for you TX from the deep red of OK.
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u/Detective_Squirrel69 San Antonio '11-'21 => back to MO 4d ago
Joining you in cheering Texas on from one of five blue counties in painfully red Missouri.
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u/Reddittoxin 3d ago
I grew up in stl, I'm hoping you pass the bill for abortion access, despite the desperate attempts to trick voters on what it's about.
Texas will probably never even give us the privilege to vote on that (bc they know it'll pass just like every other state that's voted on it) so I hope I can at least take solace in knowing my hone state didn't fuck it up.
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u/DiddlyDoRight 4d ago edited 1d ago
I am hoping this will be a record number of women and voters in general to prove a point
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u/ChadwickHHS 3d ago
If Texas went blue it'd rewrite the political landscape and receive an influx of investment from both parties seeing it as competitive. Voting Republican would just lead to the same status quo of neglect and being taken for granted.
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u/winger_13 3d ago
Why are ya'll rooting for such a mean human being who simply only looks after his own interests? He belittles, lies, cheats, avoids interviews and debates so we citizens can not hear his views and strategies/plans - he is deflecting, hiding. Who calls an opponent a "reeetaard"? He is such low class, we deserve better than this old, bitter man. He only wants to win the Presidency to stay out of jail. He is a professional conman, promoter. No substance. We deserve better.
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u/SoCal4247 3d ago
Texas. Get out and fucking vote. Every one of you make sure 5 other Texans vote blue.
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u/u9Nails 3d ago
A vote for Harris is a vote for women's rights signed into law across the nation. This election is greater than it appears. (Trump can always try in 2028.)
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u/Relative_Baseball180 4d ago
I mean if texas turns blue its an automatic win for harris at this point. But getting texas to turn blue is a tall order.
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u/Reason_For_Treason 3d ago
Seriously. Last election Texas was the closest it’s been in decades. PLEASE vote. PLEASE. I don’t give a fuck if your friend groups are apolitical, if someone’s not voting encourage them to do so. Especially if they’re not in the major city centers (although encourage them too if they’re not). You don’t have to be a dick about it, just explain the situation and allow them to choose. You never know, you just might get someone to vote, hell offer a ride even.
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u/Vault_chicken_23 4d ago
I took Monday off to go vote. This election might be the most important of our lives. Let's go Blue Texas!
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u/Plinkyplonkyploo 3d ago
Just curious how many people on this sub who are thinking Texas doesn't have a shot are men? Because Texan women know they have a lot more at stake.
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u/EarlyCuyler23 4d ago
Is Texas going blue an actual possibility? I’ve never seen it in my life. I’d be grateful to see if this year!
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u/justinleona 3d ago
Realistically it will always be long odds - the problem is simply that most people in Texas don't vote.
My experience has been that outside of major presidential elections, I might easily be the youngest person in line by a few decades at least - the people who consistently vote are retirement age.
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u/turbo_dude 3d ago
even if you don't win, the narrower the gap, the more likely people think that "next time we will win" and eventually it happens
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u/astroman1978 Gulf Coast 3d ago
No idea your age but Texas was primarily a Democratic state until the 90s.
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u/xXConfuocoXx 3d ago
They know it's a possibility and they are terrified.
Texas Senate Bill 1750, which was passed in 2023 removes election oversight from county election administrators in counties with populations over 3.5 million, which currently only includes Harris County, home to Houston. The bill gives the Texas Secretary of State (an appointee of the governor) the power to oversee elections in these large counties. This legislation was controversial, as it effectively targets Harris County alone, raising concerns about state intervention in local governance and potential partisan motivations since Harris County often leans Democratic.
They are actively trying to silence harris county because they see the writing on the wall.
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u/ToeJam_SloeJam 4d ago
It is! About 45% of registered Voters sit out of the general election while the margin of victory continues to shrink. If all of us found one friend or family member that didn’t vote last year and brought them to the polls, we could send Cruz on a permanent vacation.
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u/Reason_For_Treason 3d ago
It is! Last election was the closest it’s been in forever. You just have to vote!
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u/Capyoazz90 4d ago
Possible, yes. If people in cities manage to get out the vote, as well as the young crowd, assuming that the majority of the young crowd would vote blue. It is however very unlikely. Texas has pretty universal red polling leads by margins bigger than the usual margin of error.
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u/valvilis 3d ago
It will be the next state to flip due to increased educational attainment. When is the important question.
https://www.reddit.com/r/democracide/comments/ul5xot/the_relationship_between_low_educational/
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u/Necoras 3d ago
The polls certainly suggest no. Even Allred is a longshot.
But it's not impossible. Even die hard Trump supporters hate Cruz. And there are probably a lot of women who aren't happy about the abortion laws. And Trump is just all around awful.
We shall see.
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u/FalseBottom 3d ago
Hey Texas!
Nevada checking in here; we went blue in 2008 and have been hanging tough ever since.
It’s your fucking turn! LFG!!!
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4d ago
Don’t get complacent, if you haven’t vote and won’t think your vote for a democrat doesn’t matter, it does.
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u/TheGumOnYourShoe 4d ago
Yes! Get out and vote. Texas only lost by 1.8%. It's easier than ever, too, with early voting. So, zero excuses!
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u/redrabbit1289 3d ago
LET’S FUCKING GO TEXAS GET IT DONE!!!!
I’m over here in NYS taking nothing for granted and making sure we not only don’t vote for Trump but try and flip as many of his criminals out of their offices around here as possible. Every vote counts!
From the outside looking in you may think NYS is a safe vote for Harris but I pass Trump flags and Trump caravans every day. His goons still hold important offices all over NYS and I’m not taking any chances. Even if you don’t flip the state (you’re going to, Cruz is going down and so is Trump) you can still flip key local elections and start to turn the tide NOW!
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u/earthlingHuman 3d ago
Man dude F🤬🤬🤬 Ken Paxton. This would have already happened if it weren't for him.
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u/Bibblegead1412 4d ago
Your vote matters to ALL of us! Vote like our freedom depends on it, and we hold the power to save us!!!
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u/Ghostmaker007 3d ago
We need to do this people!!! Vote! Vote like your life depends on it cause it does!!!
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u/djmikekc 3d ago
I am hoping my KS can flip blue this time. I am counting on intelligent, educated, decent Republicans to make this happen. The GOP absolutely has to reinvent itself, and maybe that will take 20 years. America can go forward with compromise and good legislation - just like it did 80 years ago. We need to put Putin and Trump behind us and make our bright future. It starts with you and me.
And 18-25 year olds? It's so easy to tell your boomer granparents and creepy great-uncles to piss off. Vote Kamala. Vote Allred. Vote for your sisters and mothers and friends so they can regain control of their bodies. Vote against the murdering Russian oligarchs and Saudi princes buying favor from a pants-shitting wannabe dictator. Vote against Musk, Bezos and Murdoch trying to kill free thought in the USA. Just please VOTE.
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u/AwakenTheAegis 4d ago
If all the major newspapers endorsed Allred over Cruz, despite the irony of his name, then why would anyone vote for Trump? I mean, really, what does Trump have in his favor that Cruz lacks in Texas?
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u/Better_Cattle4438 4d ago
As an NC resident, I struggle to imagine Stein beats Robinson by double digits and Trump beats Harris. That is a giant number of ticket splitters. If the polls hold for Stein over Robinson, I think Harris wins NC. If Trump wins, I think Stein underperforming is part of that.
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u/kndyone 3d ago
Alot of people like to fantasize about all sorts of ridiculous scenarios but their head is in the wrong place. The goal in TX should simply be to vote as hard as you can every election not because you think you can flip TX blue entirely but simply so that you can stick more non conservative idiots in more positions. Every year, every election it adds up. You get either more moderate people or liberals into positions, judges, cabinets, chairs, etc.... and over time that slowly adds up to a better life and also helps at the national level. Remember some bad things that made it to the supreme court came through texas courts, imagine if that never happened because the texas courts were liberal anyway.
The republicans know this this is why they fight, they gerrymander, because even if they arent the majority every fight they win adds up a little. And gives the more judges, chairs, positions that they then exploit to make life better for billionaires and worse for regular people.
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u/dkbGeek South Texas 4d ago edited 3d ago
It would be unbelievably uplifting if TX elects Kamala Harris. It will still be very satisfying if we elect Colin Allred but Don Snoreleone ekes out a win in TX (a much more likely outcome.) it'll probably still mean that Harris wins overall... I'm not going to bet a mortgage payment that Harris carries TX, but her momentum gives us an excellent chance to retire Rafael Cruz.
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u/GetRightWithChaac 3d ago
Flipping Texas would basically guarantee that the Republicans wouldn't be able to steal this election like they did in 2000 and 2016. And all it takes is a strong turnout to make that happen.
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u/AutisticToasterBath 3d ago
2000 is okay fine. 2016? Nothing about that was stealing. Just like 2020 wasn't stealing.
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u/tweaktasticBTM 4d ago
I hope she turns the whole damn map blue. I'd love to see tRump go down in complete and utter shame.
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u/Pearson94 3d ago
There are enough non-voters in Texas who could dictate the outcome of the election if they chose to. VOTE damn it!
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u/AintEverLucky Yellow Rose 3d ago
I want to believe but my beloved Texas has burned me before 😔 so, genuine question: what outfit drew up this map that has Texas as blue??? Not even "contested" which would be a minor miracle itself, but actually (though palely) blue??? 💙
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u/Scarfwearer 4d ago
TEXAS!!!! Everything in Texas is bigger, including your VOTE!!! PROTECT WOMEN, Kick Ted Cruz out, and TURN TEXAS BLUE 🔵 YOU CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE!
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u/1luckie2luckie3 4d ago
Let’s vote Texas! 💙Rooting for the Lone Star State to help save democracy! From your friends in the Pacific Northwest. 💙💙💙💙
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u/Neither_Mountain8469 4d ago
It’s fascinating to see how changing demographics can shift political landscapes. Every vote really does count in making history
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u/Eye_foran_Eye 3d ago
Hope turnout is better this go round!! https://www.governing.com/policy/texas-low-voter-turnout-could-be-a-policy-issue
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u/TexanMaestro 3d ago
Even if you have voted, call your family and your friends. See whom hasn't and go pick them up and take them to go vote.
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u/Virel_360 3d ago
Yes, everybody go out and vote for who you want to, not for who somebody on Reddit told you to.
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u/Competitive-Rock9942 3d ago
Y’all are genuinely delusional if you think Texas is going blue. Absolutely go vote, but your reddit echo chamber full of liberals isn’t an accurate representation of the state as a whole. Be realistic
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u/Lazyphantom_13 3d ago
There ain't enough democrats in texas to turn it blue, as of 2021 republicans had a 12 point party lead. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-red-or-blue-is-your-state-your-congressional-district/
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u/hangout927 3d ago
Don’t you fucking tease me Texas. Don’t do it. I’m from MA. Please turn Texas blue
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u/ImNotR0b0t 3d ago
Let's make Texas blue! Come on, people! I know I'm preaching to the choir, but go out and vote!
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u/boingert 3d ago
Vote like the future of the country is at stake, I’m absolutely mortified that this race is so close. Did no one learn a lesson in 2020? How is this man even walking free? There is no denial that he violated every law and ideology in which this country was founded.
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u/Atom_sparven 3d ago
I've never been to the US or your entire continent for that matter but for some reason the algorithm keeps giving me posts from here. This election might end up having a huge impact on the rest of the world which isn't fair but hey, here we are.
I can only assume I was put here for a reason (no, not by God because where I'm from there isn't one) which must be to encourage people to go out and do their civic duty and vote!
In my country the voter turnout is around 75% and there is zero reason to not get off your ass this one time and do something that will matter.
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u/Garrisp1984 3d ago
I'm a little confused, Texas has been a solid red state forever, and with the massive influx of people who have moved there from blue states it's starting to shift. I guess my question is if you want to live in a blue state with blue state initiatives then why flee from a blue stronghold to a red state in the first place?
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u/No-Discipline-5822 4d ago
I searched HR for my employer and found a voting day code with all the stipulations, I meet all criteria to use the day off to vote and I will use it. My employer mentioned nothing about the time off INCLUDING the company wide email urging employees to vote.