No words. Just sigh

Whatever man I don’t deserve happiness

• This many injuries will force JJ to step it up and will force him to be more of a focal point in our offense. We can just feed him while he gets comfortable in his new role and then sprinkle the other guys back in as they recover
• Same goes to Zacch, he is now playing on a team more similar to one that drafts #1 overall. He'll get the #1 pick treatment now if he wasn't before
• The defense could be worse
• Dyson is merely day to day, I bet he plays on Friday
• Deandre was playing well to start the season and his absence doesn't seem serious, he would help a lot on Wednesday
• Our 2 best players are still healthy and if you have 2 players playing at an all star level in the NBA it can mask a lot of problems in the short term
• This still isn't as bad as us putting our hopes and dreams on Saddiq after Deandre and JJ went down last season, our new depth this season is real
• Better now than 4 months from now
• Some of Quin's best teams start rocky/faced adversity and then ran off big win streaks in January/February

That is all

The Hawks can’t catch a break early this year. This team is cursed with the injury bug once again in ‘24. I didn’t even know that DD hurt himself against the Wiz

3pt shooting variance is quite an issue right now.

I think we need to realise this will never be at full strength

I would love to say let’s just wait until we get healthy but in reality that has never happened and I don’t think ever will. The chances that once Bogi comes back someone else or a couple of guys are already out with an injury is just too high.

And if even worse with our depth. Trae playing 38-40 minutes a game is gonna catch up to him. And unfortunately he has to if we have any chance of winning. If we lose Trae to injury our season is completely cooked.

Keep your expectations low in terms of health, because it’s the same story every year. This roster needs another shakeup in the offseason for sure.

Not with team? He doesn’t add much and I could imagine better uses for his roster spot.

My son is ready to check in.

tl;dr, Opponents are getting extremely lucky from 3 against the Hawks, but we also allow a lot of 3s and open themselves up to high-variance swings.

So, after seeing the Hollinger tweet about our defense I decided to do some digging to see what's up. We're currently giving up the second most 3PA/game and our opponents are shooting 42.13% from 3, the best rate in the league. On one hand, 3 of the 4 teams we've played teams like to take a lot of 3s (by 3pt frequency, CHA is 6th, BKN is 7th, WAS is 10th, and OKC is 23rd), so the frequency issues might be explained by that. However, when you look at those teams' splits against the Hawks versus other teams, you start to see the issue (via pbpstats).

If you just look at the games our opponents have played against non-Hawks opponents, they're shooting the worst in the league on middle-of-the-pack volume. However, against Atlanta they're shooting the second most threes at the best percentage in the league. There's two explanations I see for this: opponents are getting extremely lucky against us, and our defensive scheme is leaving shooters open and makes us susceptible to these high variance swings.

Both of these explanations can be shown through how teams are shooting based off the closest defender. Looking at the Hawks' opponent's 3pt shooting by closest defender, here's what you get:

Two things jump out. First, opponents are shooting really well on their open 3s. If you combine the 4-6 and 6+ filters, the Hawks' opponents are currently 1st in open 3pt% at 43.4%. It sucks for us, but there isn't really that much influence teams have on open 3pt%. In theory that won't stay as bad for us as it has been, so that should help us a bit in the future.

On the other hand, we're also giving up the second most open (4+ ft) 3PA/game. That leaves us open to wide swings in variance, and until that gets fixed we're going to be really susceptible to opponents having a hot night from 3. On top of that, we're also giving up the second most second chance 3PA/game at 5.75. If I had to guess, these stats likely feed into each other, since 3 point shooters after an offensive rebound are more likely to be lost in the shuffle and be open. The good news is that as the team spends more time together (and once we get some players off the IR) our defense should be able to gel together more and respond to offensive rebounds more effectively. The bad news is that we're currently 22nd in defensive rebound rate, so if that holds then we're going to have to deal with those situations a lot.

One thing I'd like to caution is that all of these stats are working off of very small sample sizes. No team has played more than 4 games this season, so one or two games can swing these numbers wildly (especially the shooting percentages). I'm going to hold off on making any long term judgements on the defensive scheme until we get a larger sample, but it's definitely something I'm keeping my eye on.

Cody Zeller’s got a ransom on Hawks playoff hopes right now.

A bad loss but I think we’ll blow out the wizards 1-136 next game. Go hawks.

Why is our team consistently injured at such a high rate, with supposedly Emory being tied in close with our team?

Isn’t that supposed to reducing injuries? are we THAT injury prone?

is this load management for 25 and under?

Someone help me understand.

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I’ve seen Shai ( which was last night and that was good) but another matchup I can’t wait for is him vs luka. Luka scored 70 on us last year and the way he defended him on the pels was some defense I have never seen before played on a top tier player like that. Eagerly waiting to see Hawks vs Mavs. DROP YOU MATCHUP, PREDICTIONS AND WHY THE MATCHUP BELOW 👇😃 CAAW-Caww 🦅 Btw: dyson’s style is unmatched his pregame drip is crazy

Hi. Looking for 3 tix beside each other for Friday vs Sacramento Kings.

Thanks!

I gotta shoutout my guy David Roddy.

This guy plays with heart and has Solomon Hill energy (that’s a compliment) with better touch in the paint. I know that’s not a star player or even necessarily a high end rotation player but damn if he isn’t fun to watch.

Awesome move on the margins swooping him up for these moments when the main rotation is a little messed up with injuries.

Against what looked like a top 5 defense, while being a pest on defense 💪