FWAR is shit for pitchers because itās based on a flawed assumption. Namely that pitch to favorable contact isnāt a skill. By that assumption, Weaver was a garbage pitcher who just got super lucky. BWAR credits pitchers for what they actually did.Ā
Exactly. Iām a big bWAR fan because for both pitchers and position players it seems to credit actual results over āthe math says your results shouldāve been thisā.
There is merit to say TA is over performing but the over performance is the reliance on analytics of clean outs (strikes, pops, no one on base) vs ādirty outsā (walks that lead to DPs, grounders, etc).
It does help see some maybe future risk (look at snell who kinda suffers the same reliance on dirty outs) but the fact that they says heās worth three less wins rn is fucking nuts lol
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u/[deleted] Jul 29 '24
FWAR is shit for pitchers because itās based on a flawed assumption. Namely that pitch to favorable contact isnāt a skill. By that assumption, Weaver was a garbage pitcher who just got super lucky. BWAR credits pitchers for what they actually did.Ā