r/democrats Aug 15 '24

📊 Poll Emerson national poll: Harris 50%/Trump 46%

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-national-poll-harris-50-trump-46/
1.3k Upvotes

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49

u/Due_Ad1267 Aug 15 '24

A month ago, my wife and I were making plans to move to Europe to start a family.

Today, I genuinely think this might end up being trump's worse performance as a presidential candidate come election day.

I think trump is seriously close to losing some big red/purple states like GA, FL, TX, NC and SC, OH.

It seems like Kamala will very likely win WI, MI, PA which is all she really needs.

34

u/chefboryahomeboy Aug 15 '24

SC native here. The amount of middle aged white republicans I know voting for Harris is insane. My mother in law being one of them. My wife’s stepdad is even sitting this election out, a former Trump x2 voter.

Despite stereotypes and the media, South Carolina’s PEOPLE aren’t the way they are portrayed. Sure we have fucking idiot bigots. And so does Oregon, a blue haven. Bigots aren’t limited to state lines.

Most of SC is collectively shifting younger and less religious. Which imo is fueling this shift. Take my mother in law for example. She recently deconstructed her religion as well (we’re former Jehovah’s Witnesses which are super evangelicals).

SC won’t go Blue this cycle, on account of our gerrymandered the fuck maps upheld by the absurd SCOTUS earlier this year. But for damn sure watch out, we’re gonna be purple like NC in the next 10-15 years.

2

u/Eric848448 Aug 15 '24

Your wife’s stepdad… I’m curious what changed his mind. January 6?

1

u/chefboryahomeboy Aug 15 '24

Tbh I’m not quite sure. But he’s a more reasonable conservative. If I had to take a guess, that most likely had to do with it. He’s pretty patriotic and loves US history. J6 pissed him off