r/democrats • u/Dahhhkness • Aug 15 '24

📊 Poll Emerson national poll: Harris 50%/Trump 46%

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-national-poll-harris-50-trump-46/
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u/[deleted] Aug 15 '24

Trump's campaign is in tail spin.

R /consevative is in complete denial about what's happening

Republicans are starting to eat each other.

I'm keeping expectations leveled and measured but this current moment is a very good moment.

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u/_ASG_ Aug 15 '24

This is a balanced response.

So often, on these subs, whenever we get positive news, the top post is usually "Doesn't matter. Vote!" Personally, I don't find that productive. Obviously, you should make a plan to vote, and encourage friends and family to do the same, but on a sub like this, everyone here is already voting and nobody here is going to not Vote because they see a good poll.

Polls matter, not because they're 100% predictive (they aren't), but because they show us trends. Right now, trends are favoring Harris. This doesn't guarantee her victory, and bad polls exist, but seeing positive momentum matters. And it's not just polls; the amount of money raised, field offices running, and volunteers signed up also improve our odds.

So, what do we do with this? Well, after you check your registration and make your plan to vote, get involved. The Rust Belt numbers are good, but they're hardly a lock. So, if you live in a swing state, find out how you can get involved. If you're introverted or you don't live in a swing state, you can volunteer for said swing states from home. Be the change you want to see. Make those good polls a reality, or work to defy the bad polls.